I'm in PL Omaha, watching a hand. Flop is Q38. There's a raise / reraise battle, and before the last allin bet, the fellow says, "Flopped nuts. I wonder what he's chasing?" He then calls and the runner runner disaster answers his question, poor fellow.
The very next hand, flop comes 4J8, (two diamonds) and I have JJxx, I bet and get raised pot. Calling would put me all-in.
I don't think he has a lower set. He probably had two diamonds, and double gutshot straight draw, and runner runner possibilities: Say 3 outs for the bottom straight. 3 outs for the top straight, 6 outs for the flush, 2 outs for runner runner something. 14 outs give or take. (I figure less than the actual because any board pairing gives me a boat or better.)
I need the case jack, 6 outs to pair the board, or a freak runner runner pairing for 3 more outs by the river, giving me 10 outs to improve. And I already have the best hand. He's chasing, and I'm only a 1.4:1 underdog for improving.
Just before I push in the last of my money, I type, "Flopped nuts. I wonder what he's chasing?" I didn't catch any of my outs. And, in the end, and 84$ richer, I knew what he was chasing. BRILLIANT!
It paid for getting busted earlier in the 30+3 NL HE tourney where I flopped a set and guy caught runner runner to make me bust in 3rd place.
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