Thursday, July 07, 2005

A conscious decision

I find it suspicious when people make huge bets trying to 'protect' a preflop hand in a pot that they choose to enter. I frequently see a preflop bet of 10x or more the BB when the pot is only $30. Risk $300 to win $30? It makes no sense. One time, sure. Two times, and I will apply the following:

I suspect that the types of hands that are bet like this are non-premium hands. I find these bets are revealing of hands no better than a mid pair and as poor as A-rag or worse. If I discover a player in the habit of making such bets early in a tournament, I will reraise all-in with any pair or overcards, and track win percentage.

At worst, I may be behind with pair to an overpair, or I may have 2 live cards vs. a weak ace. Heads up, excepting the pair to overpair, I'm theorizing that these are great chances to move ahead early or get into another game quickly.

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